Cranmer’s 10 predictions for 2010
His Grace is not a prophet new inspired; he has no time for crystal balls and horoscopes. But he would like to contribute his thoughts on events and occurrences for the coming year, which will be as defining and pivotal for him as for the nation.
1. The General Election will be held in May, after one of the most personal, negative and vitriolic campaigns in history. It will result in a Conservative victory, and David Cameron will have a majority of 23.
2. The Green Party will win Brighton Pavilion, and UKIP will win Buckingham. Caroline Lucas will work closely with environment minister Zach Goldsmith: Nigel Farage will resume the mantle of party leader from Lord Pearson.
3. Gordon Brown will resign and Alan Johnson will become leader of the Labour Party. He will see it as a ‘caretaker’ role, but will in fact lead the party into the 2014 general election.
4. Government will be difficult as David Cameron has alienated so many backbenchers that they feel no obligation to be loyal. In a context of high unemployment, rising interest rates and falling house prices, the administration will be dogged by internal debates on spending cuts versus tax increases and mired in debates about the European Union. When the time comes to fulfil the manifesto pledge to cut the number of MPs at Westminster by 10 per cent, it will be ‘kicked into the long grass’ as Conservative backbenchers refuse to countenance a policy which will see the merging of some of their constituencies and an end to the tradition of parliamentary boundaries not crossing county borders.
5. Israel will attack Iran in order to halt its development of a nuclear bomb. Barack Obama will do nothing to dissuade Israel, but he will publicly condemn the action.
6. The world will be rocked by a high-profile political assassination. It will be linked to al-Qa’eda.
7. In the media and in Parliament, the Church of England will be perceived to have been surpassed by the Roman Catholic Church as the voice of orthodox Christianity in England.
8. There will be a new technological development and the fusion of multiple platforms which will lead inexorably to people living more hypnotic and addictive virtual lives in order to escape the spiritual emptiness, cynicism, tedium and depression that they associate with reality.
9. His Grace will be offered a peerage and will enter the House of Lords flanked by Baroness Thatcher and Lord Ahmed.
10. Jesus will not return. The world will not end.